How Much will a Recession in the USA hurt India?

Saish Ashok Bhise
2 min readApr 26, 2024

A US recession can have a significant impact on the Indian economy, as the two economies are closely intertwined through trade and investment. The US is India’s largest trading partner, and a downturn in the US economy can lead to reduced demand for Indian goods and services, which can lead to a decline in exports and economic growth. Additionally, a US recession can lead to a decrease in foreign investment in India, which can further dampen economic activity.

India’s IT sector is particularly vulnerable to a US recession, as the sector is heavily reliant on the US market. Many Indian IT firms provide services to US-based companies, and a slowdown in the US economy can lead to reduced demand for these services. This can lead to job losses in the IT sector and a slowdown in economic growth.

Photo by Alexander Grey on Unsplash

However, India has made efforts to diversify its exports and reduce its reliance on the US market, which can help mitigate the impact of a US recession. The Indian government has also taken steps to boost domestic consumption and investment, which can help offset the decline in exports.

Furthermore, India has a large domestic market, which can help insulate the economy from external shocks. The country’s growing middle class and rising income levels provide opportunities for domestic businesses to grow and thrive, which can help support economic growth.

In conclusion, a US recession can hurt the Indian economy, but India has taken steps to reduce its dependence on the US market and boost domestic consumption and investment. While there may be short-term pain, India’s long-term growth prospects remain strong, and the country is well-positioned to weather a US recession.

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Saish Ashok Bhise

I am an aspiring Investigative journalist and I read mostly biographies and write short stories, essays, excerpts from them.